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And by excess death numbers, the US probably already had that many deaths before the time Australia locked down. The world acted too late to not let the cat out
by aperson_hello 5y ago
And by excess death numbers, the US probably already had that many deaths before the time Australia locked down. The world acted too late to not let the cat out of the bag. Australia definitely avoided a lot of impact by locking down and starting locked down, but it was happenstance and geography that allowed it to do so semi-effectively
- urthor 5y agoI believe most of the deaths in the US were not actually early. They were in that May-October range were there was just... yeah. Edit: data https://ourworldindata.org/grapher/excess-mortality-p-scores-projected-baseline?country=~USA https://ourworldindata.org/grapher/excess-mortality-p-scores... My old area under the curve skills require a bit more than a mark 1 eyeball. But most of it seems to be later, but there was an April spike.
- maxerickson 5y agoThey have a cumulative deaths option on their Covid data (the link is scaled to population, there's a toggle for that on the graph header). https://ourworldindata.org/explorers/coronavirus-data-explorer?zoomToSelection=true&time=2020-03-01..latest&facet=none&pickerSort=desc&pickerMetric=population&Metric=Confirmed+deaths&Interval=Cumulative&Relative+to+Population=true&Color+by+test+positivity=false&country=USA~HKG~KOR~AUS~CHN https://ourworldindata.org/explorers/coronavirus-data-explor... The low China numbers prior to Omicron certainly seem to be a result of successful containment, I guess we will find out more over the next months about how Omicron goes (and whether they report it accurately).