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Basically everything that requires "humanity" is relatively safe, like kindergarten teachers, practitioners in medicine and psychotherapy, as well as all the ba
by bakuninsbart 5y ago
Basically everything that requires "humanity" is relatively safe, like kindergarten teachers, practitioners in medicine and psychotherapy, as well as all the banking jobs about babysitting money for rich people. The latter I think is a good example of what will happen increasingly, as algorithms have almost completely taken over investment strategies, or at least regularly outperform humans, but it remains essential for a bank to have a "human front", as customers are rather unlikely to entrust their savings to a non-human.
Increasingly I think humans will become either "machine managers" or "the human face" of otherwise automised processes. Medicine is an interesting example here as there are quite a few studies showing that empathic patient care increases patient outcome, and in life-and-death situations, a human operator is important to catch machine failure as well as for liability purposes. But a human doctor can't (won't be able to) compete with the diagnostic power of a specialised AI trained on billions of diagnosis. This is of course a good thing, as we as a species will become much better at diagnosing and treating illness in the process.
DALL-E, if it holds what it promises, will definetely shrink the market for freelance designers at the lower end of the market, and it might transform design at larger corporations too. Here I think it is plausible for designers to become more and more like machine operators, in which they write detailed instructions to an AI (like googling is a core strength of programming), and then do the last bits of fine tuning themselves, as well as making sure that the overall client vision is fulfilled in all parts.
Note though that a doctor spending less time on diagnosis can lead to a) more time for patient care or b) less overall doctors. A machine-operator designer has a much higher productivity, which might reduce the number of available jobs in the sector. On another note, this should all be taken with a grain of salt. 10 years ago I would have said transportation is the first job sector to go, yet now it increasingly looks like creative jobs might be hit before that. Things aren't moving in a linear fashion.