This isn't like [1] due to multiple independent lines of corroborating evidence, including multiple eye-witness accounts, photographic evidence, and satellite i

This isn't like [1] due to multiple independent lines of corroborating evidence, including multiple eye-witness accounts, photographic evidence, and satellite imagery from two weeks ago that corroborates this evidence. It is fine to reserve judgement where there is no good evidence, but that's not what you're doing by comparing it to [1]. The null should be that the Kremlin is lying, especially in the context of fairly solid lines of evidence, and given their recent history of lying about everything and denying everything, even that which we can observe with our eyes (e.g. Lavrov's "We are not invading Ukraine" -- said in March).