The theory doesn’t claim that Russia is a purely reactive state, that’a a nonsense interpretation if I may use your own words. It claims that when certain thing

The theory doesn’t claim that Russia is a purely reactive state, that’a a nonsense interpretation if I may use your own words. It claims that when certain things happen, they are forced to react. E.g. regime change in a neighbor that’s typically not NATO-friendly that suddenly starts training with NATO with the hope of joining someday.