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By which I think you mean that the invasion is an effect of Ukraine's joining NATO. Even if they apply now that's very unlikely to happen before 2024, agreed? B
by Arnt 5y ago
By which I think you mean that the invasion is an effect of Ukraine's joining NATO. Even if they apply now that's very unlikely to happen before 2024, agreed? But in that case the effect comes ten years before the cause, and if the effect precedes the cause by ten years, you should consider whether another cause is more reasonable.
- yucky 5y agoWell no, immediately after the 2014 coup the new US-approved government changed the Constitution to the 2004 version which allowed for a vote to join NATO[1]. Then Russia invaded Crimea as a result, since a country not in control of its borders would not be eligible to join NATO. Then in December 2014 Ukraine voted to abandon neutrality and begin the process of getting into NATO anyway.[2] Trump's presidency definitely put a pause on this plan, but now that Biden is back on top the clock has started ticking again. [1] https://en.interfax.com.ua/news/general/191727.html https://en.interfax.com.ua/news/general/191727.html [2] https://www.rferl.org/a/ukraine-parliament-abandons-neutrality/26758725.html https://www.rferl.org/a/ukraine-parliament-abandons-neutrali...