3 ms·
I think there are two kinds of AGI skepticism. There's skeptics like us that think we're nowhere even close to beginning to understand how to build an AGI, but
by simonh 5y ago
I think there are two kinds of AGI skepticism. There's skeptics like us that think we're nowhere even close to beginning to understand how to build an AGI, but see no reason to suppose such a thing is impossible.
Then there are those who think AGI is impossible in principle.
The people I get most frustrated with are those that use the first argument - we're nowhere close to implementing an AGI - as an argument that therefore AGI is impossible. Sometimes they don't even realise or recognise that this is what they are doing.
The argument is often that "we do X and computers don't do X therefore computers can't be like us in that way". Well no computers don't do those things yet because we haven't developed AGI yet. That's not a reasonable argument that developing AGI is impossible.
- FabHK 5y ago> Then there are those who think AGI is impossible in principle. Yes. I don't believe that it is impossible in principle either, but it is neither trivial to argue that it is possible. An argument that annoys me to no end is this "well, AI continues to get better (there is no regression in our capability), and therefore it must sooner or later exceed any given threshold, for example human level AGI. QED." That argument is just plain wrong. The world record in the 100-metre dash is only ever improving, but that doesn't mean that humans will soon run Mach 1.