4 ms·
That isn't "moving the goalposts", though. That phrasing is commonly used to imply that people who are skeptical of the imminence of AGI are being unreasonable.
by omnicognate 5y ago
That isn't "moving the goalposts", though. That phrasing is commonly used to imply that people who are skeptical of the imminence of AGI are being unreasonable. The fact that we can't yet define general intelligence convincingly is a large part of the reason I'm skeptical that we're close to achieving it.
- tluyben2 5y agoI think we are very far off achieving it as well. But I do feel goalposts were moved and continuing that might be a way we will achieve it without noticing; like alien intelligence, we might create something we don’t recognise as general while it already is. But not soon either way I would think. Like aliens, I hope within my lifetime but I would put both at close to 0.
- FabHK 5y agoThat reminds me of Moravec's paradox: What we thought was hard and difficult (and indicative of intelligence), such as playing Chess and computing derivatives, is actually quite easy, while a lot of things that we consider trivially easy (distinguish a dog from a cat, pick up an egg, read some squiggly text) are quite hard. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Moravec's_paradox https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Moravec's_paradox One of my favourite demonstration of that was the 2015 DARPA robot challenge, where one robot after the other failed at such difficult tasks as walking and opening a door. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=g0TaYhjpOfo https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=g0TaYhjpOfo