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> If you believe humans/life is special, created by some higher power, and that the created cannot create, then AGI is not possible. How does that follow? > W
by throwawaylinux 5y ago
> If you believe humans/life is special, created by some higher power, and that the created cannot create, then AGI is not possible.
How does that follow?
> What are the common secular arguments against AGI?
Having infinite time and resources, and pointing to the existence of intelligent humans is a fairly weak argument IMO. It's not really saying anything much that can be refuted. Sure there exists some physical process from which intelligence arises. That doesn't mean we'll be able to create the same thing. Can we create a heart? Or a hand? Even a patch of skin is cut from one part of a person's body and grafted elsewhere. All things far simpler than the brain. And the best hope we'll probably ever have of creating them is to grow biological ones rather than actually design and build our own. Let's go one step further - we are incapable of creating anything even approaching the functionality of the simplest single-celled life-form. The "it exists therefore we must be able to create it" argument doesn't have a lot of legs.
And there is no real "trajectory" to general intelligence that I can see. Velocity is sitting around a flat zero. Recognizing pictures of cats on the internet is about where we are at the moment. Even self-driving cars or doing a half-decent job at predicting what people might like to buy are not a step along the road to intelligence, they are an entirely different roads altogether. We don't even know what that road looks like, don't know where it is, and don't know where we are in relation to it. The only vaguely plausible lead people have to go on is to try to do what biological brains do, but seeing as we don't even know how they work it's a bit like the blind leading the blind.
I think it's quite possible, certainly over an infinite time scale. Not an inevitability though, definitely not inevitable (or even very likely) within our lifetimes.