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I don’t find these arguments convincing for AGI to appear. Saying scale is not the answer isn’t not argument for AGI. Saying the ball is “rolling” and that AI

I don’t find these arguments convincing for AGI to appear. Saying scale is not the answer isn’t not argument for AGI. Saying the ball is “rolling” and that AI will design AGI just isn’t convincing. We don’t understand how biological machines learn and especially not our own brain. And admittedly our AI is unrelated to how human intelligence is created which is our gold standard for AGI… So why would anyone think the singularity is close? When I read this is still seems impossibly far away.

mkaic 5y ago
The ball is "rolling" in the sense that there are thousands of very smart, passionate people with billions of dollars of funding who are working on this problem full time. The ball is rolling more now than it ever has been in history. If AGI is not somehow fundamentally impossible, I believe we're on well on track to cracking it extremely soon. The amount of brain-hours being poured into the problem is absurd.
- goatlover 5y ago
  Fusion is in the same kind of boat. It might be 20 years out, it could be 50, and perhaps we'll never have commercially viable fusion reactors or AGI for whatever reasons.