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The trajectory of progress gives evidence that it is in fact possible and likely. Any venture into the unknown could be unsuccessful but if you see progress you
by mountainriver 5y ago
The trajectory of progress gives evidence that it is in fact possible and likely. Any venture into the unknown could be unsuccessful but if you see progress you can start to make estimates.
And yes most of the “robots will kill us” comes from people who aren’t building the algorithms. This could be biased in people not thinking their work is harmful but is most likely that once you see how the sausage is made you are less worried about it.
- hn_throwaway_99 5y ago> The trajectory of progress gives evidence that it is in fact possible and likely 100% disagree. In fact, I'd argue that the opposite is often true, where you see initially a fast rate of progress that results in diminishing returns over time. It's like estimating that a kid who was 3 feet tall at age 5 and 4 feet tall at age 10 will be 10 feet tall at age 40. I have very strong skepticism of any sort of hand-wavy "Look, we've made some progress, so it's highly likely we'll eventually cross some threshold that results in infinite progress."
- thirdwhrldPzz 5y agoPareto principle; we get 80 percent there and that last 20 becomes the new 100. We keep diving into one infinitely big little number pattern fractal after another, chasing poetry to alleviate the existential dread of biological death. The idea we can fundamentally hang the churn the universe given the vastness of its mass and unseen churn is pretty funny to me. Information may be forever but without the right sorting method you can’t reconstruct it once scattered. Ah, our delusions of permanence.