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I enjoyed your film (https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=OoZRjZtzD_Q https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=OoZRjZtzD_Q). I don't think many solo film makers have the skil

by psyc 5y ago

I enjoyed your film (https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=OoZRjZtzD_Q https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=OoZRjZtzD_Q). I don't think many solo film makers have the skills to do competent 3D compositing - it was a surprise. Keep making stuff. As for the post, I don't really believe it's possible to reason about what can or can't happen technologically on a 100 year timeline. But 20 years... Hmm. I've been following AGI debates ever since I accidentally found Yudkowsky's SL4 mailing list in 2000. I am still waiting to see any approach that looks to me like the spark of the germ of the seed of a generalized abstract world-and-concept-modelling and manipulation machine. I fully expect to see ever more sophisticated Roombas, Big Dogs, and Waymos. But those things are so incredibly narrow. Indeed, if they were capable of spontaneously doing anything outside of what they are marketed to do, it would probably make them bad consumer products. I was right on the verge of lumping the game solvers in with these things, but then I reconsidered. Generalized video game solvers seem like a way forward, intuitively. But that's an application, not an architecture, and I haven't heard of anything that can generalize from playing atari to doing crosswords. I have noticed this Transformer thing gaining steam just recently but haven't investigated it just yet. Do you believe it is the spark of the germ of the seed of AGI? (I fear people tend to forget what the G stands for.)

mkaic 5y ago
I'm not sure if Transformers are necessarily the spark. My personal pet theory is that the absolute most important thing we need to crack is online self-modification, i.e. letting the model alter its own structure and optimization as it is inferencing. I think getting that level of flexibility to be stable during training is extremely important. And wow, thanks, I'm glad you enjoyed the film! I had to learn a ton of new techniques to pull it off haha, but I'm quite satisfied with the result. I've got some pretty fun ideas for episode 2 already, too!

by psyc 5y ago

mkaic 5y ago

I'm not sure if Transformers are necessarily the spark. My personal pet theory is that the absolute most important thing we need to crack is online self-modification, i.e. letting the model alter its own structure and optimization as it is inferencing. I think getting that level of flexibility to be stable during training is extremely important. And wow, thanks, I'm glad you enjoyed the film! I had to learn a ton of new techniques to pull it off haha, but I'm quite satisfied with the result. I've got some pretty fun ideas for episode 2 already, too!