Honestly, I doubt it. If you're gonna make predictions, you kinda gotta look at what already exists. People that buy cars to ferry their kids around will look a

Honestly, I doubt it. If you're gonna make predictions, you kinda gotta look at what already exists. People that buy cars to ferry their kids around will look at things like safety ratings. Safety reports for robocars are super hush hush, which just doesn't inspire confidence. The stats aren't there either. People that over-rely on Tesla FSD already get a bad rep. Price is another really big factor. Car buyers are generally not willing to spend even $3k on optional bells and whistles. My understanding is a lidar system costs like $20k. You can buy an entire car for that price tag. Sleeper buses and the like also already exist and demand isn't really that high. Greyhound shut down a bunch of lines during the pandemic. I.e. if demand drops, an operator can go out of business. What makes a SDV fleet operator any less prone to the same sort of risk profile? Another factor that seems suspiciously absent from Waymo discussions is Google's abysmal track record wrt customer support. Comms from Waymo always come out as carefully written press releases, but people actually using the service have to sign NDAs. Seems... kinda fishy?