3 ms·
The second population contains 100 people without the disease. Of them we expect one person to have a false positive. In addition the person who actually has th
by jgeralnik 5y ago
The second population contains 100 people without the disease. Of them we expect one person to have a false positive. In addition the person who actually has the disease will test positive. So on average 2 people will test positive, one of whom has the disease and one of whom doesn't. If you are one of those two people you have a 50% chance of your (positive) diagnosis being false.