4 ms·
crazy how absolutely nobody saw nth-order effects coming
by adamrezich 5y ago
crazy how absolutely nobody saw nth-order effects coming
- barbazoo 5y agoI'm trying not to armchair quarterback so I'm asking, what would you have done differently? Aren't there obvious priorities here that need to be dealt with and a deep analysis about potential pandemic responses and their n-th order effects would have been even more detrimental?
- adamrezich 5y agoI don't think it's too outlandish to have taken a look at the measures taken as they were being proposed and then taken and say to oneself, "this is going to have nth-order effects, many of which are easily predictable, and we should weigh these accordingly." instead, anyone who approached things from this perspective was shouted down, told they were participating in killing people, etc. etc. these nth-order effects range from personal (alcohol-related deaths, children socializing/learning to read faces poorly, effects on education, effects on mental health) to economic (independent stores closing while big box stores flourish). all of these things and many more were dismissed at the time in favor of taking radical actions which have yet to be proven to be effective. (but they had to be effective, because if we didn't take those actions, things would be worse now, right?)
- spookthesunset 5y agoI was yelled at by some people I know quite well when I pointed this stuff out. Only covid mattered to these people. Even when we knew it wasn't nearly as bad as the original models predicted society doubled down on the nonsense.