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I think the disconnect between us here is whether the system would get used. I want to know about a tactical nuclear attack half a world away, which in and of i
by NoImmatureAdHom 5y ago
I think the disconnect between us here is whether the system would get used. I want to know about a tactical nuclear attack half a world away, which in and of itself is not a direct threat to the U.S.
The question in my mind isn't, "Does the alert system work?" it's, "Would I get the information I want via the alert system?"
It's 100% not clear to me that the U.S. emergency alert system gets activated in the case of a tactical nuclear attack in Ukraine. Of course, if people have reason to think it goes one way or the other I'm all ears...!
- jstx1 5y agoOh, I see. If the US isn't being attacked, I don't expect you to be notified through the emergency system because for you it's not an emergency. In that case what's the problem with waiting for official government sources and news etc to pick it up? Why do you need instant notification? Even if you find out super fast, it's not like you can do anything about it in those extra few minutes that you have the information.
- NoImmatureAdHom 5y agoTo stylize, it's a situation where the risk of a limited or full exchange (i.e., nukes hit the U.S.) goes from very low (0.01% per year?) to low (2% per year?). I've got the resources to hedge that catastrophic 2% risk by going to stay at a family place in the countryside, and it's nice there to boot. So why not do it? The worry is many other people will have a similar idea, and getting out of the city will become slow and difficult. In the case where a strike in Ukraine results in quick escalation to some sort of exchange, you've got maybe an hour tops (I think flight time for ICBMs is ~25 minutes, but figure there's some decision-making time plus population centers are secondary targets).