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> So you're suggesting that for a sovereign power to consider joining NATO is "flirting irresponsibly". This was indeed quite irresponsible of Ukraine, as we c
by oxff 5y ago
> So you're suggesting that for a sovereign power to consider joining NATO is "flirting irresponsibly".
This was indeed quite irresponsible of Ukraine, as we can see: they are now at war with Russia without any real support from the side they were negotiating with (USA / NATO have not and will not deploy to protect Ukraine). The losses (ref. the refugee count, loss of territory) have already been deeply damaging to Ukraine and its future: they were already aging, female dominated population prior to this with very bad economy. I cannot call this behavior responsible in any interpretation; and if these are sovereign actors then the armed veto is legitimate tool in order to pursue national interests.
> Lithuania, Latvia and Estonia are all NATO members (that happened under Putin's first stretch as president).
I think the total number of tanks Baltic states have is around 0; Russia has something like 12,000+. Ukraine has the second largest army in Europe after Russia. Russian govt. probably considers (at this point) it a mistake to not intervene in the Baltic NATO process though.
> If Russia wanted to maintain a NATO-free buffer around its borders, what lesson do you think attacking the country that isn't a NATO member sends to the others?
From the point of view of Russian strategical behavior & deterrence something had to change in the way Russian govt. behaves to stop the further expansion into Ukraine. Clearly, whatever calculus they used previously for strategical deterrence was not enough to stop the expansion (hence, the expansion towards Russia over time).
- FrenchAmerican 5y agoThis is pure Putin's propaganda.
- vegai_ 5y agoThere's a good point hidden in there, in the Yoda sense. Do or do not; there is no try. I.e. if you wanna join NATO, a lot more energy should be put into joining NATO and far less into talking about joining NATO. But perhaps in real, non-armchair politics, you cannot have one without the other.
- oxff 5y agoI try to observe things from "30 thousand feet", the current climate in Western countries is hysterical, emotional and it clouds a lot of things. Mostly try to keep it to Thomas Schelling's teachings when analyzing a given situation (behavior & deterrence being the important keywords).
- vegai_ 5y ago> the current climate in Western countries is hysterical, emotional and it clouds a lot of things. Sure, but in contrast, the earlier climate was complacent and submissive to all the evil things Putin did during his reign. We might be in the other end of the spectrum right now, but the other end wasn't a good position either.