3 ms·
Roughly 200GW installed this year. 400GW, 800GW, 1.6TW, 3.2, 6.4, 12.8, 25.6, 51.2 We are only 8 doublings away from 51.2TW/year. https://en.m.wikipedia.org/w
by jmpman 5y ago
Roughly 200GW installed this year. 400GW, 800GW, 1.6TW, 3.2, 6.4, 12.8, 25.6, 51.2
We are only 8 doublings away from 51.2TW/year.
https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Experience_curve_effects#Wright's_law_and_the_discovery_of_the_learning_curve_effect https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Experience_curve_effects#Wri...
With a 10% cost reduction after each doubling, price per TW should be (0.9)^6 = 43% of today.
Sounds encouraging to me.
If a doubling happens every 2 years, then by 2038, we will be installing 51.2TW/year.
Maybe too late to stop global warming?