3 ms·
Ask HN: What was your user count/user growth since launch?
Some of you have launched their own website / web service. I'm interested in how your user numbers developed within the first three or so years, on a monthly (or quarterly) sampling rate.
Alternatively, maybe you know of someone else's (successful or unsuccessful) business and its user count.
(Maybe you know of some article on the web that has already done what I'm asking for)
So it'd be great if you could give some information such as the following
~~~BEGIN Example~~~
type of business: B2C online shop for dog food
definition of user: a customer making one sale per quarter
("yxqz"= year x, quarter z)
y1q1: 10 users
y1q2: 100 users
y1q3: 150 users
y1q4: 1000 users
y2q1: 900 users (lost users because Christmas was over)
y2q2: 2000 users
y2q3: 10000 users (started big marketing campaign)
...
~~~END Example~~~
Background: there once was an "Ask HN" question about estimating user growth ( http://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=780482 ). Consensus was: you cannot predict user growth, release your stuff and see what happens.
So possibly, with a diverse set of businesses and their user numbers, it may be possible to elicit a rough heuristics for different kinds of businesses.
- deleted 15y ago[deleted]
- _ud4a 15y agoi'm not sure about the quarterly without actually going in the database and querying it but over the span of 3 years we went from 0 registered users to 150,000. Each user does not necessary mean a sale as our source of income is purely based on the ads on our site since our content is free. It's a mobile related website.
- Eduard 15y agoGreat, thanks! Is it okay for you to have a quick look in your database and get your user numbers for each quarter since launch? Maybe you can even comment on each number regarding what caused it to develop that way (e.g. "organic growth", "service featured on greatwebsite.com", "outage for a week") ?
- _ud4a 15y agoi will do it tonight when i get home :)
- deleted 15y ago[deleted]
- petervandijck 15y agoFor mefeedia (in 2005) y1q1: 10K y1q2: 20K y1q3: 30K y1q4: 40K Growth was prety linear.
- Eduard 15y agodank u wel, Peter! How did you promote mefeedia? I'm curious to know what caused the linear growth.
- petervandijck 15y agoMy rough heuristic for a free service is: get 100 new users a day and activate them, you're getting started. get 1000 new users a day and activate them, you're doing pretty good. And get 20% month over month growth and you're doing great.