> I think he would be wise to learn from Bill Gates that it's a bad idea to over-predict what will happen in the short term. No, if your job is raising money a

> I think he would be wise to learn from Bill Gates that it's a bad idea to over-predict what will happen in the short term. No, if your job is raising money and motivating people to work for you on ambitious moonshots then optimistically over-predicting is probably the correct choice. You don’t win many points for being “pessimistic but correct” in his line of work.