3 ms·
Drought and flood projections undermine the 'usable' claim: https://climate.nasa.gov/news/2881/earths-freshwater-future-extremes-of-flood-and-drought/ https://
by photochemsyn 5y ago
Drought and flood projections undermine the 'usable' claim:
https://climate.nasa.gov/news/2881/earths-freshwater-future-extremes-of-flood-and-drought/ https://climate.nasa.gov/news/2881/earths-freshwater-future-...
Projected result on agricultural production? (IPCC 2020):
"World Bank (2009) projected that, without the carbon fertilisation effect, climate change will reduce the mean yields for 11 major global crops, such as millet, field pea, sugar beet, sweet potato, wheat, rice, maize, soybean, groundnut, sunflower, and rapeseed, by 15% in Sub-Saharan Africa, by 11% in Middle East and North Africa, by 18% in South Asia, and by 6% in Latin America and Caribbean by 2046–2055, compared with 1996–2005. A separate meta-analysis suggested a similar order of reduction in yields in Africa and South Asia due to climate change by 2050 (Knox et al., 2012). Schlenker and Lobell (2010) estimated that in sub-Saharan Africa, crop production may be reduced by 17–22% due to climate change by 2051. At the local level, climate change impacts on crop yields vary by location (Chapter 5). Negative impacts of climate change on agricultural productivity contribute to higher food prices. The imbalance between supply and demand for agricultural products is projected to increase agricultural prices in the range of 32% for rice to 100% for maize by 2050 (Nelson et al., 2010), and cereal prices in the range between a 32% increase and a 16% decrease by 2030 (Hertel et al., 2010)."