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The Multipolar World Dies in Ukraine

• barry-cotter 5y ago
  > The U.S. and China are unified markets that together comprised 42% of global GDP and 52% of global defense spending in 2021. Their ability to leverage hard military power and economic coercion is an insurmountable obstacle to the emergence of the other powers that would make a multipolar world order. With the potential long-term exception of India, no country has the size and strategic resources to compete individually, and current multinational institutions like the UN and the EU are built on soft foundations which cannot be transformed into hard power. … > For now, the Ukraine war is hastening the birth of a new world order, but it isn’t a multilateral one. The U.S. and China are establishing themselves as the two separate suns that all other nations orbit.
  • s1artibartfast 5y ago
    Two poles are still multipolar. I don't understand this article
    • rektide 5y ago
      multipolar was a term that evolved to contrast am emerging world of mamy concerns versus a world defined by communism vs capitalism, a world of only two. or in some cases unilateralism. a reduction back to vast power blocks is a very nitable shift happening, well underway. this is a good point for this article to cover & it makes very clear sense to me.
• mooreds 5y ago
  The thesis seems to be we're back in a bipolar world, since China will still have to transact in dollars until oil producing countries want to be paid in yuan. (And as the article mentions, for all this crisis has shaken faith in the dollar, it still is far more stable and rule-of-law bound than the yuan.) We're definitely out of the post Cold War unipolar world, for sure, but I think a multi-polar world is still probable. Especially as the USA pulls back, as we've been doing for decades.