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The many exist not in one huge mass, but in generation after generation- and the author is right to assume there interests more worthy then short-term comforts
by throwaways85989 5y ago
The many exist not in one huge mass, but in generation after generation- and the author is right to assume there interests more worthy then short-term comforts of the few and those whose who disguise laziness as a ideology or law of nature.
What he fails to accurately represent is the structure of the future. Cause this its not accurate to depict it like the past as one line of history, of sequential events and scenarios. The future is the sum of all possible scenarios, and that includes short-term disasters and recoverys. Its a scenario-tree with overlapping forests in the branches.
Its a tree, that deforms as one moves on it, gains capability and gathers risks to return to a scenario that is similar in ways to the past. Branches thicken as the fruit of research thicken the likelihoods. And its not explored by one tribe on leader, one people, its explored simultaneously by all of humanity, even the dead branches leading nowhere, not even into the past and diminished trees. On some planet we might one day have a nuclear exchange.
With this tree of chances in mind, some recent developments also make more sense- as long as humanity has no behavioral self-control, developing ever more advanced exponential technology and hand it to the individual, reduces the thickness of the probability branches higher up in the future. Exploring one self, social engineering, social implants and protect against disaster by root-hardening (investing in technology that allows for easier, faster recovery) is more important sequentially then having next level tech (like fusion, flying cars and space travel for everyone).
I botched this post, but the truth is in it.