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The math on this article (taking pre-order rate from the first few days of availability and extending it to the ship date) is silly, as much as I'm an Amazon an
by tomkarlo 15y ago
The math on this article (taking pre-order rate from the first few days of availability and extending it to the ship date) is silly, as much as I'm an Amazon and Kindle fan. Journalists need to stick to reporting the facts and not making silly projections of the future based on questionable math.
It's similarly ridiculous to expect that orders will "ramp up" as the launch date gets closer. The closer you get to the release date, the less incentive there is to pre-order (because you will be way back in the line anyway) and the more incentive there is to wait a little longer and see the early reviews / user reports. I may be wrong about that but it's not like the reporter provides any support for the assertion that orders will climb as the release date gets close.
- sliverstorm 15y agoIt is entirely possible there will be a "hump" in orders though. There was no build-up to the Fire, so plenty of potentially interested consumers probably hadn't even heard of the Fire until a while after pre-orders started.
- tomkarlo 15y agoGiven that the NYT and most major media outlets (including TV programs) covered the Fire the day it came out, you'd have to be living in a pretty deep hole (at least in the US) to have not heard about the release. Google News shows about 6,000 publications covering the release. It seems unlikely they'll get even 10% of that much attention again before the ship date.