3 ms·
alright i will have a go at this: Let's say Putin's core objective is 'not letting US win' - this is the only thing he cares about. War goes badly, but this c
by hunglee2 5y ago
alright i will have a go at this:
Let's say Putin's core objective is 'not letting US win' - this is the only thing he cares about.
War goes badly, but this core objective doesn't change. If he wants to achieve this objective, armageddon would achieve it - everyone loses, so US doesn't win. That is better than Russia loses, US wins, so it is rational in this frame to push the button.
- AnimalMuppet 5y agoBut that isn't what he wants. He doesn't want the US to lose; he wants Russia to win. He thinks he needs NATO to collapse for that to happen, but the end goal is Russia winning, not NATO losing. He can't get Russia winning by a nuclear war. The larger problem is that he is increasingly surrounded by people who tell him what he wants to hear, not what is true. That might lead to a situation where he thinks Russia can win by a nuclear war.
- hunglee2 5y agomy example was illustration of how triggering nuclear war could be a rational decision. I do not have any privileged access to Putin's objective