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No war is perfectly surgical, but Russia itself recently fought successful wars with all objectives achieved with minimal casualties within days (certainly West
by notahacker 5y ago
No war is perfectly surgical, but Russia itself recently fought successful wars with all objectives achieved with minimal casualties within days (certainly Western narratives around those Russian invasions weren't manufactured to praise them). It's also currently fighting a war in which the main advances stalled because they couldn't supply their troops, and as such has resorted to artillery bombardment of cities it can't seize or in some cases even surround despite incurring more casualties in two weeks than the famously messy US conquest and occupation of Afghanistan suffered in decades.
- random_upvoter 5y agoIs there are single instance in history where a country the size of Ukraine was overthrown in less than a month? It took the Nazi army 35 days to conquer the western part of Poland. Ukraine is twice the size of Poland. Huge landmasses just have... mass.
- notahacker 5y agoSure, it's not straightforward to roll tanks into Lviv. But I don't think not moving in a week whilst sustaining heavier losses than NATO sustained conquering and occupying famously difficult to conquer Afghanistan over two decades (a country which did collapse in a month after they left) was part of the original plan. Open for debate how much of the cities they originally intended to flatten but I can easily believe artillery bombardment was Plan B, with Plan A being the hope Ukraine's command structure would implode and they'd rapidly sue for peace
- kergonath 5y agoOn the other hand, Kiev is just next to Belarus. I would not expect them to take entire control of the whole country that quickly (look at how long it takes in Syria where the insurgents have nothing like the Ukrainian military), but it was certainly possible for a competent military to blitzkrieg their way into the presidential palace.