The likelihood of a "nuclear and radiation accident" before 2024 according to prediction markets is around 13% [0]. I don't see any change in the prediction in

The likelihood of a "nuclear and radiation accident" before 2024 according to prediction markets is around 13% [0]. I don't see any change in the prediction in the last hours/days. [0] https://www.metaculus.com/questions/10154/radiation-incident-in-ukraine-by-2024/ https://www.metaculus.com/questions/10154/radiation-incident...