4 ms·
I got more or less the same from the article. Pape says the data (HSE database) is flawed and that the logic of sanctions is flawed. We've never properly evalu
by nonrandomstring 5y ago
I got more or less the same from the article.
Pape says the data (HSE database) is flawed and that the logic of
sanctions is flawed. We've never properly evaluated their impact. And
we cannot separate their effect from military actions which almost
always occur simultaneously.
He says that sanctions fail because there is rarely coherent
international cooperation - actually that seems to be different in the
present Ukraine crisis.
Also that nationalism drives sanctioned countries closer together into
a more dogged position. Possibly that's true in Russia.
48 pages of academic prose is too much for a Sunday morning, so my
take-away is light - it's not that economic sanctions are ineffective
but that we have no real understanding of how effective they are, and
if so why.
- roenxi 5y agoI was skimming through a Wikipedia article the other day that suggests there is not much unity [0, 1]. From those two UN votes it looks like Asia is more or less neutral and will be happy to trade for Russia's energy and resources. And that is just an official UN vote, what actually happens in cynical practice will look even more opportunistic. [0] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/File:United_Nations_General_Assembly_resolution_ES-11_L.1_vote.svg https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/File:United_Nations_General_As... [1] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/File:International_reactions_to_the_2022_Russian_invasion_of_Ukraine.svg https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/File:International_reactions_t...