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Science-fiction is optimized for interesting story-telling, not for predicting the future. http://lesswrong.com/lw/k9/the_logical_fallacy_of_generalization_fro

• VladRussian 15y ago
  only future will tell what was the most optimized way to predict it. You seem to dislike references to sci-fi in discussing the future, yet you link to the sci-fi yourself, and not just sci-fi, you link to the high brow discussion (i.e. specifically optimized for non-interesting story-telling) of how sci-fi may be predicting future incorrectly - without acknowledging that such a discussion in itself implies some modeling process of future (to compare other models against) and thus sci-fi in nature. At first i thought this link was some parody/joke :)