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Russia is a big country. It produces many things, despite decades of oligarchs capturing as much as they can and stashing it abroad. No country that produces r
by vintermann 5y ago
Russia is a big country. It produces many things, despite decades of oligarchs capturing as much as they can and stashing it abroad.
No country that produces real things and issues its own currency needs to have a worthless currency. If it does, it's usually because the rulers are in desperate extraction mode, trying to ship as much value abroad as quickly as possible with no regards to the medium term consequences (either to creditors at gunpoint, or to private accounts).
That may still happen in Russia, if Putin can't keep the oligarchs in line. But he pretty much has, since 2003. It can also happen in the slightly longer term if Russia strikes a desperate deal with China which goes wrong (that's basically what happened to Venezuela).
But barring that, there won't be hyperinflation in Russia, "only" an Iceland-style one time devaluation (plus sanction-derived shortages, which Iceland dodged). Economically speaking, Putin can probably shield regular citizens from even Soviet-era scarcity, since the economy is still more productive despite oligarch looting. Whether he will is another matter.