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Shouldn't kettle logic be considered a paradox of Logic? Those options are mutually exclusive only if there are no hidden variables. We could make them theories
by ffhhj 5y ago
Shouldn't kettle logic be considered a paradox of Logic? Those options are mutually exclusive only if there are no hidden variables. We could make them theories and assign probabilities:
There is X probability the client was nowhere near the scene of the murder, and Y probability he didn't mean to pull the trigger
That way these are not exclusive and the contradiction disappears. Now suppose the client is convicted because X is too high, years later a hidden variable is revealed that reduces the probability to zero. He is released from jail, but another hidden variable appears that increases Y to 100%.
There should also be a probability for unknown unknowns, when a fair coin falls sideways.