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I read the OP. Okay. I have a good track record in AI, about the best: I was right and for the right reasons! I got fairly deep into expert systems and said
by graycat 5y ago
I read the OP. Okay.
I have a good track record in AI, about the best: I was right and for the right reasons! I got fairly deep into expert systems and said clearly at the time that I thought that they were, in a word, essentially junk. And history has shown that I was correct. In AI, being that correct gives one about the best track record!
Then I did some more: One of the main problems we were trying to solve was monitoring computer server farms and digital communications networks. I worked up a quite general approach, as some math complete with theorems and proofs, starting with some meager assumptions quite reasonable in practice, and totally blew the doors off anything AI was doing. Got to select false alarm rate, in small steps over a wide range. And used Ulam's result 'tightness' to show that the techniques was not trivial. Programmed it. On some real data, it worked fine. Published it. It was successful, on the real problem, better than unaided humans or expert systems could hope to do. And it had some solid math guarantees, from theorems and proofs from meager assumptions. That's also relatively good for AI. But, I didn't claim it was AI and instead just claimed that it was useful, progress on the real problem.
So, I've had, in comparison, two successes! Soooooo, if the author of the OP can give opinions, I should be able to also. So, will do that here and now!
First, I would like to see AI research compare with, say, baby animals, mammals, yes, but also some reptiles and maybe even some insects. I'd like to see our AI systems do as well as the baby animals.
Second, I'd like to have our systems, that do as well as baby animals, learn as well and fast as those animals do as they grow up. A good goal might be a kitten at 3 months.
Third, I'd like to have our systems learn English as fast, easily, and well as a human of 3 years old.
So, in summary, for research in AI, I'd like to see work that has some promise of achieving these three goals.
For now, I'll stop here!