You could find a winning lottery ticket, so without buying you do still have an (even smaller) chance. While one is sufficiently likely that it'll happen to so

You could find a winning lottery ticket, so without buying you do still have an (even smaller) chance. While one is sufficiently likely that it'll happen to someone and the other probably won't ever, neither will happen to you. I think the bigger difference is probably the prop and the immediacy of the experience.