4 ms·
> rules based international order What exactly is this? Who actually follows the rules? > first half of this century Trying to predict global politics for 5
by smt88 5y ago
> rules based international order
What exactly is this? Who actually follows the rules?
> first half of this century
Trying to predict global politics for 5 years, let alone 50-100, is incredibly difficult. A prediction that with such a long time horizon is effectively nonsense.
I'm also not sure what you're trying to predict. Are you saying China and Russia will be the near-term invaders, and those other countries will be longer-term invaders?
That could easily be true, or it could be true that China and Russia dig themselves into an isolation hole and India becomes closer with NATO countries instead of more antagonistic.