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Kennedy was able to blockade Cuba without the conflict escalating into nuclear war, so there is precedent. I honestly don’t see the strategic value in launchin
by awb 5y ago
Kennedy was able to blockade Cuba without the conflict escalating into nuclear war, so there is precedent.
I honestly don’t see the strategic value in launching a 1st strike for an altercation outside your own territory. If Putin wants territory or a legacy, launching nukes is a failure because:
1) no one is around to care, or those that survived will always hate you
2) you end up destroying the very territory you wanted
But then again, you’re only wrong once.
- blagie 5y agoYou're wrong only once, but assuming: 1) Putin is crazy enough to launch nukes; and 2) that Russian nukes work in the first place Which decision is more likely to trigger Putin to launch nukes is still an open question. My tactical analysis says appeasement is most likely to avoid nukes tomorrow. My strategic analysis says that containment is the right strategy to avoid nukes in my lifetime. Aggression can't be rewarded.