If you haven't read it already, I'd suggest checking out "Superforecasting" by Tetlock and Gardner. The "Good Judgement" project by Tetlock is likely to be of

If you haven't read it already, I'd suggest checking out "Superforecasting" by Tetlock and Gardner. The "Good Judgement" project by Tetlock is likely to be of interest: https://www.gjopen.com/ https://www.gjopen.com/