As a French citizen, I believe this won't last. 1. Europe will rely on Russian natgas for quite sometime. We can't force Poutine to withdraw for this very reas

As a French citizen, I believe this won't last. 1. Europe will rely on Russian natgas for quite sometime. We can't force Poutine to withdraw for this very reason as long as China continue to support Russia. And China stated this morning that they intend to do so, and accuse the West to be responsible for this war: https://apnews.com/article/russia-ukraine-business-europe-global-trade-wang-yi-26278cf4ea0a1f9ab6264593aedba66c https://apnews.com/article/russia-ukraine-business-europe-gl... 2. The biggest countries of Europe will realize that the most eastern countries can't decide how the EU defend itself (and without a consistent EU policy, there can't be stability). At some point, France, Germany and others will weight in and possibly negotiate with Russian to ensure that no more armed conflict arise (we may have deny Ukraine's membership to EU and NATO, if necessary). The US and the EU interests aren't aligned, as the US continues to work against multipolarity in the international balance of power. 3. The only entity that is gaining now is China, and the worst outcome of this conflict is Russia to become a close ally to China. Everybody would loses. Note that in January, China entered a 25-year parnership with Iran to provide them with weapons in exchange for oil & gas and China is forcing the West to remove sanctions on Iran and China in exchange for a nuclear deal https://www.france24.com/en/middle-east/20220119-china-plays-discreet-but-critical-role-in-iran-nuclear-negotiations https://www.france24.com/en/middle-east/20220119-china-plays.... Why wouldn't they do the same with Russia? Also, China is using the Ukraine war to remind everyone that Taiwan is theirs and that they expect to control the South China Sea. The EU also say that only China can be a mediator in this conflict https://www.scmp.com/news/china/diplomacy/article/3169407/russias-war-ukraine-it-has-be-china-mediator-eu-foreign-policy https://www.scmp.com/news/china/diplomacy/article/3169407/ru.... That's worrisome. 4. Western countries are slowly realizing that we should have considered Russian concerns about its security more seriously (even if they are exaggerated and exploited). Note that 68% of French people surveys believe NATO is partly responsible for the war in Ukraine (slide 9: https://harris-interactive.fr/wp-content/uploads/sites/6/2022/02/Rapport-Harris-Le-regard-des-Franc%CC%A7ais-sur-la-guerre-entre-la-Russie-et-lUkraine-M6-et-RTL.pdf https://harris-interactive.fr/wp-content/uploads/sites/6/202...).