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Hello from Kyiv, Ukraine - I need to be completely open minded, and unbiased, to what is happening here (for my own life, and those around me). In reality, thi

Hello from Kyiv, Ukraine - I need to be completely open minded, and unbiased, to what is happening here (for my own life, and those around me). In reality, this is an almost total disaster for Russia so far. No matter what, Russia will not recover from the last 12 days in the next fifty years. International support for Ukraine will only grow stronger. The scale of verified Russian losses was NEVER predicted by anyone prior to this invasion. Prior to invasion, the reports were almost entirely about how fast Ukraine would fall. Now, everything is about "Russia is yet to send it's best, it's early days, etc" - from the same "experts" and talking heads. With regards to what you have said, of course never underestimate your enemy, and yes it may sadly be on the early days, but you could do this to get one single data point of what is happening: 1)research and find the most likely estimate of Russian troop deaths so far. 2)using that number, estimate the number of injured Russian troops (military experts can help you here, wars are somewhat predicable with death/injured ratios). 3)add those two numbers together. What number do you come up with, and show your workings please.

chasd00 5y ago
A friend of mine has a 100+ dev team in Ukraine. He said about 30 have evacuated while the rest are staying to fight. Currently, he said the main problem is getting money in the hands of his people. They're all still paid and there's lots of funds available but getting actual currency in their hands is the hard part. He's able to stay in touch over Slack which implies inet is working at least. Can you confirm? Also, what is the single most effective thing regular, but well connected (both politically and logistically), people in the US can do to help the situation?
- EB-Barrington 5y ago
  Hi, I would be happy to tell you what is happening here in Kyiv. For context, I have some hard currency, but I'm not spending it as yet. Electronic means of payment are fully functional - spend at the supermarkets, or pharmacies, without issue (other than supply issues at supermarkets of course). I haven't yet tried an international bank transfer into Ukraine, but I suspect it would be OK. I use an EU issued bank card, it works no problem (I also have a UA bank card as backup) At the moment, therefore, the best thing to do: get money into the hands of regular Ukrainians. Personally, I have been raising funds from abroad and using the money to either give directly to Ukrainians (via bank transfers), or purchasing food etc and delivering it (in my local area) to the most vulnerable. At the moment, if people run out of money, they will run out of food. Keeping people fed, keeps people sane. It's the most effective thing for Ukrainians that are remaining in Ukraine. I would say the second most effective thing, is asking your politicians to do more - that may be providing lethal aid, humanitarian aid, or money, to Ukraine. Further - logistics are incredibly compromised now, in every possible way. For the moment, money is the most effective solution. The situation is fluid - what Ukraine needed yesterday, is possibly not what they will need tomorrow. Money can be used immediately to help purchase what needed, with respect to what is actually available. Internet in Kyiv has been stable the entire time.
  - chasd00 5y ago
    thank you, i'm going to copy/paste this to my colleague to see if it can help with him and his team. Edit > purchasing food etc and delivering it (in my local area) to the most vulnerable. is there more information here? a way to do this over the inet that can be verified as legit and not a scam? If so, i can see this being very useful. I've been seeing people rent AirBnbs in Ukraine all of social media to get money in people's hands. I'm wary of fraud though, it's a situation ripe for fraudsters to take advantage.
    - EB-Barrington 5y ago
      Hi, I would be happy to verify this. The problem is, I see we both have our contact details empty on HN. If you can suggest a way for me to contact you, I will reach out. I don't want to be compromised (which for me, is a bigger threat than normal right now).

chasd00 5y ago

A friend of mine has a 100+ dev team in Ukraine. He said about 30 have evacuated while the rest are staying to fight. Currently, he said the main problem is getting money in the hands of his people. They're all still paid and there's lots of funds available but getting actual currency in their hands is the hard part. He's able to stay in touch over Slack which implies inet is working at least. Can you confirm? Also, what is the single most effective thing regular, but well connected (both politically and logistically), people in the US can do to help the situation?

EB-Barrington 5y ago
Hi, I would be happy to tell you what is happening here in Kyiv. For context, I have some hard currency, but I'm not spending it as yet. Electronic means of payment are fully functional - spend at the supermarkets, or pharmacies, without issue (other than supply issues at supermarkets of course). I haven't yet tried an international bank transfer into Ukraine, but I suspect it would be OK. I use an EU issued bank card, it works no problem (I also have a UA bank card as backup) At the moment, therefore, the best thing to do: get money into the hands of regular Ukrainians. Personally, I have been raising funds from abroad and using the money to either give directly to Ukrainians (via bank transfers), or purchasing food etc and delivering it (in my local area) to the most vulnerable. At the moment, if people run out of money, they will run out of food. Keeping people fed, keeps people sane. It's the most effective thing for Ukrainians that are remaining in Ukraine. I would say the second most effective thing, is asking your politicians to do more - that may be providing lethal aid, humanitarian aid, or money, to Ukraine. Further - logistics are incredibly compromised now, in every possible way. For the moment, money is the most effective solution. The situation is fluid - what Ukraine needed yesterday, is possibly not what they will need tomorrow. Money can be used immediately to help purchase what needed, with respect to what is actually available. Internet in Kyiv has been stable the entire time.
- chasd00 5y ago
  thank you, i'm going to copy/paste this to my colleague to see if it can help with him and his team. Edit > purchasing food etc and delivering it (in my local area) to the most vulnerable. is there more information here? a way to do this over the inet that can be verified as legit and not a scam? If so, i can see this being very useful. I've been seeing people rent AirBnbs in Ukraine all of social media to get money in people's hands. I'm wary of fraud though, it's a situation ripe for fraudsters to take advantage.
  - EB-Barrington 5y ago
    Hi, I would be happy to verify this. The problem is, I see we both have our contact details empty on HN. If you can suggest a way for me to contact you, I will reach out. I don't want to be compromised (which for me, is a bigger threat than normal right now).