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The three day war idea is the only rational basis for the invasion: 1. Decapitate the government and military 2. Broadcast a message of surrender 3. Install a p
by Zigurd 5y ago
The three day war idea is the only rational basis for the invasion:
1. Decapitate the government and military
2. Broadcast a message of surrender
3. Install a puppet government and occupation control of cities
That's the only way 200k soldiers can control a nation of 40 million who are united against invaders and united behind a democratically elected government.
Even if half of the first objective can be attained in a few weeks, it will not lead to the following necessary objectives being met. Putin has no viable plan.
Which, if you are making an analogy to Iraq, is somewhat similar: The US had no viable plan to stop patrols being ambushed using the same tactics on the same roads week after week.
- CityOfThrowaway 5y agoI'm not ruling out that Putin hoped for a fast capitulation by Ukraine. It does seem that he attempted to produce exactly that. I find it harder to believe that he went all-in betting on that gambit.
- Zigurd 5y agoIt looks stupid in hindsight. But we all found out that the weapons meant to stop a mechanized invasion of Western Europe do in fact work.