3 ms·
There is a recent (2019) Princeton study of a large scale nuclear war between NATO and Russia [1]. They assume most strikes would be against military targets an
by admissionsguy 5y ago
There is a recent (2019) Princeton study of a large scale nuclear war between NATO and Russia [1]. They assume most strikes would be against military targets and predict immediate fatalities of "just" around 3% of the NATO+Russia's total population. While that does not count fallout and indirect effects, it seems far from apocalyptic (although some areas/countries are certain to be absolutely devastated). The more I read about it, the less clear it is to me that globally, a nuclear war would be worse than a large-scale WW2-style conventional conflict (during which, for example, over 20% of Polish population died).
On a more granular scale, Nukemaps [2], which probably everyone knows by now, shows the area of fallout for a given blast based on real-time wind data.
[1] https://www.icanw.org/new_study_on_us_russia_nuclear_war https://www.icanw.org/new_study_on_us_russia_nuclear_war
[2] https://nuclearsecrecy.com/nukemap/ https://nuclearsecrecy.com/nukemap/