3 ms·
> (From the OP) ...in stark contrast to the fact that net zero CO2 emissions are required by around 2050 to meet a 50% chance of keeping the average surface tem
by wrycoder 5y ago
> (From the OP) ...in stark contrast to the fact that net zero CO2 emissions are required by around 2050 to meet a 50% chance of keeping the average surface temperature increase to below 1.5 °C
These forecasts used to be 4.5C or more. Now the forecasts are 1.5C and yet the IPCC is still pushing hard.
It happens that the average tropospheric temperature increase over the last 40 years of satellite measurements is 0.13C per decade, or 1.3C per century if that rate continues.[0] We have still not peaked during this interglacial epoch, but the tropospheric warming appears normal and less than the IPCC target.
[0] https://www.drroyspencer.com/2022/03/uah-global-temperature-update-for-february-2022-0-00-deg-c/ https://www.drroyspencer.com/2022/03/uah-global-temperature-...