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> The same stuff was said about invasion in Ukraine not 14 days ago and look where we are now. 14 days ago (and before) there were plenty of highly credible pe

> The same stuff was said about invasion in Ukraine not 14 days ago and look where we are now. 14 days ago (and before) there were plenty of highly credible people saying that the invasion of Ukraine was very likely. It didn't really take anyone who was paying close attention by surprise.

jacquesm 5y ago
Precisely, but those weren't the people on HN telling us Russia wouldn't invade. So here we are again: 'this war is already over'. I can't believe I'm reading this, I'm sure the Ukraine high command would roll right over if they were told that they are fighting a war that is already over and done with, that any chance of escalation is now off the table and we can start rebuilding. /s You really can't make this stuff up. Sure, let's not panic. But there is serious potential for escalation especially because Russia is losing, on the battleground, in the public eye and even within Russia itself, it doesn't take a genius to figure that one out.
- sillysaurusx 5y ago
  It’s over in the same sense that WW2 was over for Japan after losing Midway. That’s not to say they’ve surrendered yet. All Ukraine needs to do is continue picking off Russian supply convoys, as they’ve been doing. Russia can’t do a thing. Now, I probably come off as an arrogant American, since I am not the one whose bottom is at risk of being nuked. But the way I see it, Putin literally can’t attempt to use nukes without being killed. There are limits to one man’s power. If the Russians felt they were at risk, the way they were during the Cold War, then yes. But not now. I am sorry if this idea offends you for some reason, but we all have our perspectives. I hear yours, that Russia is somehow going to interrupt the lives of the average Londoner, and it seems the odds of going out in a car crash is much higher. How do you suggest we resolve this disparity?

jacquesm 5y ago

Precisely, but those weren't the people on HN telling us Russia wouldn't invade. So here we are again: 'this war is already over'. I can't believe I'm reading this, I'm sure the Ukraine high command would roll right over if they were told that they are fighting a war that is already over and done with, that any chance of escalation is now off the table and we can start rebuilding. /s You really can't make this stuff up. Sure, let's not panic. But there is serious potential for escalation especially because Russia is losing, on the battleground, in the public eye and even within Russia itself, it doesn't take a genius to figure that one out.

sillysaurusx 5y ago
It’s over in the same sense that WW2 was over for Japan after losing Midway. That’s not to say they’ve surrendered yet. All Ukraine needs to do is continue picking off Russian supply convoys, as they’ve been doing. Russia can’t do a thing. Now, I probably come off as an arrogant American, since I am not the one whose bottom is at risk of being nuked. But the way I see it, Putin literally can’t attempt to use nukes without being killed. There are limits to one man’s power. If the Russians felt they were at risk, the way they were during the Cold War, then yes. But not now. I am sorry if this idea offends you for some reason, but we all have our perspectives. I hear yours, that Russia is somehow going to interrupt the lives of the average Londoner, and it seems the odds of going out in a car crash is much higher. How do you suggest we resolve this disparity?