3 ms·
First, take a dose of realism: Russia is in terrible shape. Their military is a shambles, their equipment is garbage and poorly maintained, and their nuclear a
by kstenerud 5y ago
First, take a dose of realism:
Russia is in terrible shape. Their military is a shambles, their equipment is garbage and poorly maintained, and their nuclear arsenal is just as bad. They couldn't launch most of it even if they wanted to, and would likely accidentally nuke themselves if they did.
Putin vastly overestimated his military's ability and equipment (he thought he could take Ukraine in a single day - it's been 2 weeks). Now he knows better, which is why Russia has been barking so loudly instead of acting, threatening everyone under the sun, saying "X is an act of war", "Y is an act of war" etc etc. You only bark that loud when you've got nothing to back it up.
There will be no nuclear armageddon. The Ukraine conflict will stay there, the rest of the world will funnel in arms but not soldiers, and Russia will tire herself out over the next months/years fighting an expensive insurgency just like they did in Afghanistan (except they're in even worse shape now). And America and Europe are perfectly happy with such an outcome because it's a cheap win for them, which is why they're dragging this out.
Stop worrying and get back to your life.
- dragonwriter 5y ago> Their military is a shambles, their equipment is garbage and poorly maintained I’m not sure how much that is the case and how much of the current ineffectiveness is the fact that they have woefully inadequate logistical support for meaningful operations (anything beyond a short distance from railheads), but either way the effect for an operation like the one in Ukraine is the same—a lot of paper (or parade) strength, but much less practical strength.
- vlunkr 5y agoExactly. While it's good to prepare mentally for the future, it's seems like the real problem is that the threat has been blown away out of porportion: The war escalating out of Ukraine, nuclear weapons being deployed, someone roughly in their thirties being drafted. None of that is a given, and some of it is highly unlikely. OP might want to limit how much news they're taking in, or change sources to something less sensational.
- midrus 5y agoThanks for this. Helped me a lot to calm down a bit.