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What would happen if indeed NATO intervenes? Russia will quickly start losing a conventional war. They would turn to nukes. When it seems like Russia is losing
by allisdust 5y ago
What would happen if indeed NATO intervenes?
Russia will quickly start losing a conventional war. They would turn to nukes. When it seems like Russia is losing, all nuclear nations would be on high alert. They being on high alert with fingers on triggers is bad not just for Nato and Russia but also for non participating countries like China, India, Pakistan, Israel, NK because when there is a nuclear war on the horizon, everyone wants to be on the alert. However, each country raising alert will cause suspicion on the other country. For example, China raising its alert level will trigger India to do the same followed by Pakistan. All it takes now is one nuke to fly (may be between Nato and Russia or even a false launch detection). Now all countries will trigger all their nukes purely out of suspicion in the fog of war due to panic.
So that's why Russia can shoot/burn or destroy people /cities /infrastructure, NATO will not lift a single finger in terms of actual participation in war to help Ukraine (whatever the public opinion might be).
- dazilcher 5y ago> What would happen if indeed NATO intervenes? > Russia will quickly start losing a conventional war. They would turn to nukes. So what is the trigger in your opinion: NATO involvement, or losing the war? What do you think would happen if NATO doesn't intervene and Putin still loses the war?
- allisdust 5y agolosing the war of course. And without NATO intervening that won't happen. There are 600k more Russian troops and countless military equipment to throw at Ukraine. West can keep the arms flowing but it won't matter by even as early as next week because the UA supply lines are falling apart. The best outcome at this juncture is to fall back to western most cities and save as much land and army as they can. Especially the army pinned in the eastern most provinces have to start moving back and meet up with the remnants in Kharkiv, Kyiv and other cities. If they fall back fast, RA cannot really pursue them as their supply lines are stretched as well. They have to get mobile and freely move around now for any chance of preventing a complete rout (and capture of the army at breakaway provinces).