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Just wait until GPT3 deep-fake audio. Closely followed by Deep-fake video. And algorithms will amplify this content to the echo chambers that "want" to hear it
by throw_nbvc1234 5y ago
Just wait until GPT3 deep-fake audio. Closely followed by Deep-fake video. And algorithms will amplify this content to the echo chambers that "want" to hear it to increase ad revenue a few percentage points. All this will enter society at a time when trust in institutions is already low; you already hear some people predicting that there may not be an election with uncontested results (in the USA) ever again. If we solve/survive all those problems maybe there will be enough sense-making to actually tackle climate change come 2032. and maybe people will claim that the 20's were the true great filter of civilizations.
On the other hand, the world is probably the most united it's been in a while because of Russia so there's that.
- pg5 5y agoHate to say it, but deepfake audio and video are already pretty convincing (though post processing is needed)
- LeifCarrotson 5y agoGood looking post processing used to be exclusively reserved for movie studios with render farms. Then it became available to any YouTuber with a PC and a license (or not) of Adobe. Now the average phone can do more impressive special effects for Snapchat filters than big budget movies had not long ago. I'm convinced that deepfakes will be as easily generated as a Snapchat filter within a few years, substantially less time than society will require to adjust to this reality.
- atlantas 5y agoThere was a viral video last week of the "Ghost of Kiev" that looked like real war footage. It ended up being from a 2013 video game! https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Ghost_of_Kyiv#Morale https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Ghost_of_Kyiv#Morale
- RajT88 5y agoPost processing or just lowering the resolution? Filming a deepfake with a DV cam pointed at your screen is very convincing. Sadly.
- toolz 5y agoDo we see much change with photoshop? Personally I don't recall seeing much, but a "photo" of someone in the wrong place at the wrong time is every bit as damning as a deep-fake video in many circumstances.
- nebula8804 5y agoI hear that cameras that sign video files are coming. It sucks that we have reached this point but it seems like some mitigations against deep fakes will appear.
- OnionBlender 5y agoThe novel Fuzzy Nation has cameras like that. Regular cameras are basically inadmissible in court.
- anselm 5y agoThe minute fakes are a serious issue we will sign utterances. Exactly the same as DNS or anything actually important. Deepfakes will not be a threat or issue.
- bitexploder 5y agoExcept DNSSEC accomplishes nothing really. It does not make anything more secure. Crypto is not a panacea to the problems of trust.