4 ms·
Both sanction-wise and publicity-wise an ongoing war is a catastrophe for Russia. Also, they invaded from three (!) sides and Kyiv is just about 100km from the
by Sebb767 5y ago
Both sanction-wise and publicity-wise an ongoing war is a catastrophe for Russia. Also, they invaded from three (!) sides and Kyiv is just about 100km from the border.
There's obviously some propaganda and a thick fog of war going on, but I think we can quite reasonably conclude that this is going far worse for Russia than anyone expected, including Russia.
- chillacy 5y agoThis was supposed to be a layup for Russia (90% success) and it's looking like a coin flip (50%). https://www.metaculus.com/questions/9939/kyiv-to-fall-to-russian-forces-by-april-2022/ https://www.metaculus.com/questions/9939/kyiv-to-fall-to-rus...
- epolanski 5y agoThey made serious gains in 9 days and are encircling 3 of the 4 biggest cities. It doesn't seem to be going that bad as some would make you believe. In comparison, took poland a month to fall from germany and ussr combined with much larger armies on both sides.