3 ms·
2030 seems impossible to me. In NY, you might not be able to see the road surface at all due to snow. Curbs and other landmarks that are necessary for Waymo to
by slindsey 5y ago
2030 seems impossible to me. In NY, you might not be able to see the road surface at all due to snow. Curbs and other landmarks that are necessary for Waymo to work (they map _everything_) will be covered. Seems unlikely to account for all conditions necessary for level 5 in 7 years.
- ghaff 5y agoYeah. The against side of this bet seems like a no brainer. Is it possible (maybe even more likely than not) that there will be a fully autonomous system that will be available in that timeframe that can navigate many limited access highways in certain weather conditions by then? Absolutely. And that actually looks very interesting to me for long drives. I actually care less about handling local driving including urban driving near me. I want the long highway drives to be handled. Yes, 100% autonomous is another kind of interesting and opens up use cases like dropping me off at the airport. But that seems really hard.