There's no possible way we get to level 5, as described, by 2030. I mean, "everywhere in all conditions" is really, really broad. My parents live 1.5 miles do

There's no possible way we get to level 5, as described, by 2030. I mean, "everywhere in all conditions" is really, really broad. My parents live 1.5 miles down a dirt road, single lane, and if you come across another car one of them has to back up to a wide point in the road. There's a hill where in the winter the only way to get up it in the snow is to accelerate to a fast speed, slide around a corner, and have just enough momentum to get to the top. Most humans wouldn't be able to pull it off; I can because I lived there, and even so, I used to keep chains and a comealong in the trunk in case I needed to hook the bumper to a tree and drag the car out of a ditch. I'll eat my shorts if an AI manages that within 8 years. I give us a 50% chance to get to level 3 and 0% chance of getting level 4 or 5.