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Agree, with the addition that Kasparov is operating something like an attorney, zealously advocating for his client, or in this case, against his opponent. We s
by javajosh 5y ago
Agree, with the addition that Kasparov is operating something like an attorney, zealously advocating for his client, or in this case, against his opponent. We shouldn't do what he says, but his voice is the purest anti-Putin sentiment in the world, and has been for a long time.
Regarding nuclear brinkmanship, I suspect that a purely rational actor will lose: the nuclear thug will take some, then take some more, and each time the rational actor will acquiesce to avoid nuclear war. This will result in the nuclear thug taking over the world, piece by piece. Ergo, it makes sense to risk nuclear war, or at least convey that you're willing to risk it, because if you don't you lose.
- throwaway4aday 5y agoThat's the point of MAD. It's a Mexican Standoff, if anyone pulls the nuclear trigger then everyone does and everyone dies. That doesn't mean you can win by other means, any action that threatens the other party will be met with the nuclear option. The only players allowed to move or be moved upon are those outside of the game. Treaties like NATO can bring non-nuclear powers into the fold which serves to "protect" them but also signs them up for the suicide pact.
- mgamache 5y agoMAD assumes rational actors. As soon as you introduce crazy people (AKA Putin) that no longer functions. Even if Putin is rational it's plausible that he is not, so he is an asymmetrical threat.
- throwaway4aday 5y agoWe did it first[0] [0] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Madman_theory https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Madman_theory
- mgamache 5y agoIf I were Putin (a sociopath with no regard for my own safety), I would drop a low yield bomb on Eastern Ukraine. Then ask the rest of the world to roll over give me whatever I ask for. Or Else you'll be next.
- javajosh 5y agoI 100% agree, and believe the only thing that will stop it is disloyal missileers.
- TMWNN 5y ago>If I were Putin (a sociopath with no regard for my own safety), I would drop a low yield bomb on Eastern Ukraine. Given the widespread reports during this war of Russian equipment in poor condition, I've been thinking about this possibility for a while: * Putin fires tactical atomic weapon at some empty plot of Ukrainian land, and announces it as a "demonstration" of Russian might. * The weapon is a dud. I'm not sure whether this outcome might not be worse in the long run, in terms of geopolitical stability, than if the weapon performs as expected!