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> If you are predictably not going to retaliate Not committing to immediate retaliation is not at all the same thing as "predictably not going to retaliate".
by kwhitefoot 5y ago
> If you are predictably not going to retaliate
Not committing to immediate retaliation is not at all the same thing as "predictably not going to retaliate".
That is, the complement of "committing not to" is not "committing to" but "not committing not to"; the two nots do not cancel and leave the issue of retaliation open. Those intent on a first strike then have to gamble.
- eru 5y agoYes. But in order for opponent to fear the gamble, you have to have a positive probability of going through and actually ordering the strike. Which again puts you in the position of having to order a strike as a sane person.