> dependency will soon be resolved. Europe is already working with the assumption that this is not future-proof, It will be resolved but not soon, likely years.

> dependency will soon be resolved. Europe is already working with the assumption that this is not future-proof, It will be resolved but not soon, likely years. US is trying to temporily divert from allies but most supply already locked in long term contracts and apacity can't expand that fast. n mean time RU can make demands, alreadying threatening 2000 euro per 1000 cubic meter as norm. Maybe EU can weather it, but long term EU would have pivotted to newly discovered UKR gas. Divorce inevitable IMO so RU might as well as gamble while there's some leverage, even if it backfires spectacularly. >China needs the world far more than the world needs China. Just a few decades ago, we didn't depend on anything coming from China. We can dial that back. A lot changes in decades, dialing back will take decades in the mean time there's mutual dependancy but PRC along with US are least dependant major economies in terms of trade:gdp and indigenous production. PRC hasnt been export driven for a while. China needs US and US needs China for the foreseeable future, neither needs anyone else. > China has a useless geography As does most of west, OECD countries that can be self sufficient in energy is like US/CA/NO/NX. Most of west EU apart from France imports net calories. Granted there's major western producers for both but also many none west producers especially for critical minerals for PRC to tap. It's an issue if there's war when SLOCs are blocaded. But that's war and PRC produces enough of almost everything domestically for indefinite war economy. PRC is not Japan who needs to supply reources outside to maintain war economy. Of course no one is as blessed as US. > world wants the western model Democracy index is declining globally, including in post soviet states, majority of whom are not even flawed democracies. Countries seem to be converging more towards PRC model if anything, including recent EU censorship and west broadly re-adopting PRC tier industrial policy. > People migrate to the west Rich west with migration driven economies good at brain draining sure, but MENA authoritarian states get plenty of expats as well. >former Soviet territory wants to join the EU For security not governance model. They've remained authoritaran/hybrid and general trend on democracy index in last few years have been decline.